It was a good weekend for our MegaTipsters with Ambrose Value Tips hitting 11/1 winner Viola (backed into 4/1) and 20/1 place Sovereign Sunday.
Hanbury Racing keeps his 43% ROI and 714 point profit ticking along nicely with two placed efforts fro,m 33/1 Dinard Rose and 18/1 Redarna.
Today we give out one free tip which has been put up by both Ambrose Value Tips and Hanbury Racing Tips. When they put the same horse up they have a cracking record, with notable previous winners 33/1 Borodin, 28/1 Sasson and 20/1 Orioninverness.
The 7 year old David Duval is a winner of 5 flat races from 6F to 1m 2F. He has gradually stepped up in trip as he has aged and went hurdling this last winter over 2m and 2m 2F. He had a 3 month break this year when the ground was really soft/heavy, returning with one hurdle race in March, followed by spins over 1m 2F and 1m 4F in April.
He goes into today’s race fit and well for what is a fascinating 6 runner race. Andrew Balding won this race last year and his representative, Spring Glow, who won last time out, was the original 5/4 favourite but has been usurped by Jamie Spencer’s only ride of the day, Ispahan.
Ispahan has been running well over 1m 6F in Class 2 & Class 3 events and today represents a drop in class for him. He has been outpaced and been staying on too late in his races, and whilst this is a drop in class for him it’s also a drop in trip to 1m 4F that I don’t think will suit, especially at Brighton.
Brighton is a really unique track, it’s primarily downhill and many horses just don’t act. It really is a horses for courses track as many horses get unbalanced, while others can’t cope with the strain running downhill puts on their knee joints.
The only course winner is David Duval, with one win from one ride over 1m 2F. He won off a mark of 74 and did it nicely, coming down the hill strongly from off the pace to win cosily with his ears pricked. That performance looked like a horse that absolutely relished this unique test and I can’t believe he hasn’t been back since April 2018!
Well today he can make up for lost time off a mark of 72, and with the very good claimer Rhys Clutterback taking off a handy 5lb, his net mark of 67 looks really appealing.
The one negative is the 1m 4 trip, as he has to prove he stays this far, but his hurdling career, will have taught him to settle better, gives him every chance. Plus Brighton is an easy track, so if he is going to get 1m 4F anywhere, then it will be here!
What’s also of note is the reapplication of the visor. He always used to wear a hood and tongue tie when he was trainer by Stuart Williams (he used to be really keen), but since Suzi Best took over training him in August 2019 (11 runs) they have only used the tongue tie.
It’s a different story today as they reapply the visor for only the second time in his career, the previous time he finished 2nd of 6, only beaten by a neck off a mark of 79.
It’s going to be a cracking little heat and I hope David Duval comes with his sweeping run on the outside in the final furlong to take the spoils.
At 66/1 with Skybet he is an insane price and I recommend 1 point each way.
He is still value at 16/1 in this six runner field.