Hi
Please see below my two tips for Thursday:
Rhubarb Bikini – 6.15 Chelmsford – 1 Mile Handicap – 12/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, Bet365 (Best Priced 14/1) – 1 Point Each Way.
With some horses, they just have a sweet spot for a particular track, trip, class, and handicap rating.
This certainly applies to Rhubarb Bikini who seems to go best on Chelmsford’s Polytrack surface over 1 mile in Class 5 events, off marks between 75-78.
His overall profile is more than respectable with 3 wins and 4 places from 17 starts, but when you arrow in on his Polytrack form at Chelmsford it’s 7 runs, 2 wins, and 2 seconds.
When we homed in further, in class 5 events over 1 mile, he is 2 wins and 2 seconds from 4 starts. With wins off marks of 75 and 78.
Today he pitches up at Chelmsford off a mark of 74 and drops back into a class 5 for the first time in five runs, the last was in August 2021 where he won decisively off 75 over today’s course and distance.
He likes to race prominently, but doesn’t have to lead, and is likely to be sharing the pace with Stopnsearch, but luckily there shouldn’t be too much of a pace war.
At 12/1 Rhubarb Bikini looks a solid each-way play in this 9 runner event and I recommend 1 point each way.
He is still value at 8/1 but would suggest a straight win at those odds.
Golden Romance – 5.45 Chelmsford – 6F Handicap – 28/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, Bet365 (Best Priced 33/1) – 1 Point Each Way.
The lightly raced 3- year-old, Golden Romance, was originally with the powerful Godolphin operation and posted two fine efforts the first times she hit the racecourse.
Over 6F she was keen and raced prominently but burnt herself out fading in the last furlong, but still managed to postmark her best-ever figure of 67.
This was followed up with a switch to 5F where again she ran with the choke out but didn’t have enough speed to see them off, postmarking 65.
On her handicap debut, off a mark of 69, Golden Romance went over a mile but again was too free and bombed out, after which Godolphin sold her on.
She is now with Mike Murphy and after a 159 break, was put back into a maiden over 6F where she was held up off the pace and ran onto being a never nearer 6 lengths 3rd postmarking a modest 42.
Her latest start was in a 7F handicap (off 60), where she had the widest draw and was dropped out last, ran wide, and was never put in the race.
These two runs were in February and March this year, so her fitness and conditioning will now be spot on, and she looks interesting dropped back to 6F at Kempton.
She showed her best form on a Polytrack surface, so this looks a good move and connections have reached for a first-time hood in an attempt to help her settle.
Her handicap mark is down to just 54 and considering she posted marks of 65 and 67 last year, we can see she is well enough handicapped.
At 28/1 with Ladbrokes, Coral, and best-priced 33/1 with Bet365 (all BOG) she looks worth an each-way play.
