Hi
Please see attached my two tips for Monday:
Pistol – 3.40 Carlisle – 3m Handicap Hurdle – 66/1 Paddy Power/Betfair Sportsbook/Sky – 1 Point Each Way.
I put up Pistol on his seasonal reappearance, but he never got into it. The quick ground caught him out and he probably needed the run.
I’m not losing faith with him as off his mark and running at his favourite Carlisle track, he will pop up once this season.
I’m hoping it’s today. He should strip fitter for his last run and connections have put on cheekpieces and stepped him up to 3 miles.
He hasn’t won over 3 miles yet, but has run well on the few occasions he tried this trip and at his age the extra distance will probably benefit him.
Most importantly the ground is slower than last time being good/soft, soft in places. There are a few showers around so hopefully it will turn to soft all over.
At 66/1 with Paddy Power/BetfairSportsbook and Sky we are getting huge value for this course specialist, and I recommend 1 point each way.
He is still value at 25/1.
Pistol – 4.50 Carlisle – 2m 4F Handicap Hurdle – 66/1 William Hill – 4 Places – 1 Point Each Way.
I am putting up the old boy Pistol, who is 12 years young.
Pistol has won 5 races, including three at today’s Carlisle track off marks as high as 120.
He has been running fewer races each year and has regressed with age, but he loves racing at Carlisle.
Pistol shows he still retains a level of ability when finishing 3rd of 11 at Carlisle in November 2020 off a mark of 86 (postmarked 83) only losing by 6 lengths.
Since then he has only raced three times in the spring a mid summer where he ran ok at Carlisle but was down the field on his last two starts when running at Hexham and Cartmel.
Today he returns to his beloved Carlisle off a break of 138 days which is ideal for the horse. Back in 2019 he used a similar gap between his races when he finished 3rd in this race off a mark of 97 and I want to back him today as he runs off a 19lb lower mark of 78.
All his recent wins have been on heavy and the ground being good has made the market overreact in a negative way. But what they seem to forget is back in the day he ran on the flat for Sir Michael Stoute and postmarked a highly respectable 82 on good to firm. So he can cope with a fast surface.
We can back Pistol at 66/1 with William Hill and I’m recommending 1 point each way.
Pistol is still value at 20/1.
Clear Angel – 7.00 Newcastle – 6F Novice Stakes – 28/1 Paddy Power/Betfair Sportsbook/Sky – 1 Point Each Way.
This is at best an average maiden, without any powerful owners on show, so it shouldn’t take a huge amount of winning.
I’m going to take a chance with Clear Angel who was a 120,000 Euro purchase as a yearling and was trained by the mighty Andre Fabre as a two year old.
He went off a 6/5 favourite for a warm maiden but disappointed finishing 6th and postmarked 60. That race has thrown up multiple 100+ rated horses, so the fact he went off such a short price tells me he was showing considerable ability at home.
Connections must have felt he was up to running to 80+, so in the context of today’s race he must have an excellent chance (if fit enough)
He must have picked up an injury as he was sold on cheaply in Feb 2021 and been off the track for 422 days.
Clear Angel has been given plenty of time to recuperate by his small trainer and turns up here after being gelded.
With his dam being sired by the all-weather specialist sire Speightstown, so I am happy he will enjoy the tapeta surface.
The 28/1 is tempting me in and I recommend 1 point each way with Paddy Power/BetfairSB/Sky.
He is still value at 12/1
